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Scenario-Based Strategy in Practice: A Framework

Centre for Innovative Leadership

This article documents the underlying principles of scenario planning considered best practice in its application. These principles have been learned directly over the past 15 years from the first- and second-generation pioneers of the scenario method. In this article, human resource development professionals wishing to gain expertise in the discipline of scenario planning will encounter a way of thinking about this work, some key processes having a track record of success, and an outline of the knowledge skills they need to develop to become competent practitioners. The first part identifies a number of key phenomena that led to the birth of scenario-based strategy as a method.The second part describes some of the essential process elements, their origins, and the competencies needed for facilitation and execution.The goal of this article is to provide a set of reliable "handrails" for practitioners and guidelines for identifying useful further learning resources.

Key Words: scenario planning • best practices • scenario planning history

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